Market picks
56 fixtures with a published Goals number — every row opens the full prediction; 51 more are scheduled and get a page as they approach.
| Match | League | Highest odds-on line | Over 0.5 | Over 1.5 | Over 2.5 | Over 3.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia M.GladbachBundesligaOur call: Over 3.5 goals · 58% | Bundesliga | Over 3.5 goals | 97% | 93% | 77% | 58% | A |
| Torino vs MonzaSerie AOur call: Over 2.5 goals · 62% | Serie A | Over 2.5 goals | 94% | 85% | 62% | 40% | A |
| Brest vs NiceLigue 1Our call: Over 2.5 goals · 63% | Ligue 1 | Over 2.5 goals | 96% | 84% | 63% | 41% | A |
| Alaves vs MalagaLa LigaOur call: Over 2.5 goals · 51% | La Liga | Over 2.5 goals | 91% | 78% | 51% | 29% | A |
| Ipswich vs Nottingham ForestPremier LeagueOur call: Over 3.5 goals · 55% | Premier League | Over 3.5 goals | 97% | 91% | 75% | 55% | A |
| Aston Villa vs Manchester CityPremier LeagueOur call: Over 3.5 goals · 68% | Premier League | Over 3.5 goals | 98% | 95% | 84% | 68% | A |
| Rayo Vallecano vs ElcheLa LigaOur call: Over 2.5 goals · 60% | La Liga | Over 2.5 goals | 94% | 83% | 60% | 37% | A |
| Cagliari vs BolognaSerie AOur call: Over 2.5 goals · 66% | Serie A | Over 2.5 goals | 95% | 87% | 66% | 44% | A |
| Como vs SassuoloSerie AOur call: Over 3.5 goals · 70% | Serie A | Over 3.5 goals | 98% | 96% | 85% | 70% | A |
| Mainz 05 vs Werder BremenBundesligaOur call: Over 3.5 goals · 56% | Bundesliga | Over 3.5 goals | 97% | 92% | 75% | 56% | A |
| Augsburg vs Union BerlinBundesligaOur call: Over 3.5 goals · 64% | Bundesliga | Over 3.5 goals | 98% | 94% | 81% | 64% | A |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig vs SV ElversbergBundesligaOur call: Over 3.5 goals · 62% | Bundesliga | Over 3.5 goals | 97% | 94% | 80% | 62% | B |
| SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SVBundesligaOur call: Over 2.5 goals · 61% | Bundesliga | Over 2.5 goals | 94% | 85% | 61% | 39% | B |
| FC Cologne vs FC Schalke 04BundesligaOur call: Over 1.5 goals · 77% | Bundesliga | Over 1.5 goals | 91% | 77% | 50% | 28% | B |
| Arsenal vs EvertonPremier LeagueOur call: Over 2.5 goals · 56% | Premier League | Over 2.5 goals | 93% | 80% | 56% | 33% | A |
| Coventry vs FulhamPremier LeagueOur call: Over 2.5 goals · 69% | Premier League | Over 2.5 goals | 96% | 89% | 69% | 48% | A |
| Racing Santander vs EspanyolLa LigaOur call: Over 2.5 goals · 63% | La Liga | Over 2.5 goals | 94% | 86% | 63% | 41% | A |
| Toulouse vs Estac TroyesLigue 1Our call: Over 2.5 goals · 63% | Ligue 1 | Over 2.5 goals | 96% | 84% | 63% | 41% | A |
| Napoli vs RomaSerie AOur call: Over 3.5 goals · 63% | Serie A | Over 3.5 goals | 97% | 94% | 81% | 63% | A |
| Valencia vs VillarrealLa LigaOur call: Over 3.5 goals · 55% | La Liga | Over 3.5 goals | 97% | 92% | 75% | 55% | A |
| Chelsea vs TottenhamPremier LeagueOur call: Over 2.5 goals · 70% | Premier League | Over 2.5 goals | 96% | 89% | 70% | 49% | A |
| Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht FrankfurtBundesligaOur call: Over 3.5 goals · 54% | Bundesliga | Over 3.5 goals | 96% | 91% | 74% | 54% | A |
| Lazio vs Parma Calcio 1913Serie AOur call: Over 2.5 goals · 57% | Serie A | Over 2.5 goals | 93% | 82% | 57% | 35% | A |
| Lens vs Paris FCLigue 1Our call: Over 2.5 goals · 64% | Ligue 1 | Over 2.5 goals | 96% | 84% | 64% | 42% | A |
| Atletico Madrid vs Deportivo La CorunaLa LigaOur call: Over 2.5 goals · 56% | La Liga | Over 2.5 goals | 92% | 81% | 56% | 33% | A |
| Inter vs FiorentinaSerie AOur call: Over 3.5 goals · 65% | Serie A | Over 3.5 goals | 98% | 95% | 82% | 65% | A |
| Athletic Club vs GetafeLa LigaOur call: Over 2.5 goals · 56% | La Liga | Over 2.5 goals | 93% | 81% | 56% | 34% | A |
| Liverpool vs BrightonPremier LeagueOur call: Over 3.5 goals · 65% | Premier League | Over 3.5 goals | 98% | 94% | 82% | 65% | A |
| Manchester United vs BournemouthPremier LeagueOur call: Over 3.5 goals · 51% | Premier League | Over 3.5 goals | 96% | 90% | 72% | 51% | A |
| Crystal Palace vs Newcastle UnitedPremier LeagueOur call: Over 3.5 goals · 54% | Premier League | Over 3.5 goals | 97% | 91% | 75% | 54% | A |
| Hull City vs BrentfordPremier LeagueOur call: Over 2.5 goals · 60% | Premier League | Over 2.5 goals | 94% | 83% | 60% | 38% | A |
| Genoa vs VeneziaSerie AOur call: Over 2.5 goals · 66% | Serie A | Over 2.5 goals | 95% | 87% | 66% | 44% | A |
| Atalanta vs FrosinoneSerie AOur call: Over 3.5 goals · 59% | Serie A | Over 3.5 goals | 97% | 93% | 78% | 59% | A |
| Monaco vs LilleLigue 1Our call: Over 2.5 goals · 60% | Ligue 1 | Over 2.5 goals | 95% | 82% | 60% | 38% | A |
| Hoffenheim vs Bayer LeverkusenBundesligaOur call: Over 2.5 goals · 69% | Bundesliga | Over 2.5 goals | 95% | 89% | 69% | 47% | A |
| Celta Vigo vs Real BetisLa LigaOur call: Over 2.5 goals · 57% | La Liga | Over 2.5 goals | 93% | 82% | 57% | 35% | A |
| Angers vs LorientLigue 1Our call: Over 2.5 goals · 58% | Ligue 1 | Over 2.5 goals | 95% | 80% | 58% | 35% | A |
| Marseille vs Le HavreLigue 1Our call: Over 3.5 goals · 53% | Ligue 1 | Over 3.5 goals | 98% | 89% | 73% | 53% | A |
| Rennes vs StrasbourgLigue 1Our call: Over 2.5 goals · 71% | Ligue 1 | Over 2.5 goals | 97% | 88% | 71% | 50% | A |
| Auxerre vs Le MansLigue 1Our call: Over 2.5 goals · 67% | Ligue 1 | Over 2.5 goals | 97% | 86% | 67% | 45% | A |
| Sunderland vs LeedsPremier LeagueOur call: Over 2.5 goals · 70% | Premier League | Over 2.5 goals | 96% | 89% | 70% | 48% | A |
| Freiburg vs Bayern MunichBundesligaOur call: Over 3.5 goals · 55% | Bundesliga | Over 3.5 goals | 96% | 92% | 75% | 55% | A |
| Lecce vs JuventusSerie AOur call: Over 2.5 goals · 69% | Serie A | Over 2.5 goals | 96% | 89% | 69% | 48% | A |
| Real Sociedad vs LevanteLa LigaOur call: Over 3.5 goals · 58% | La Liga | Over 3.5 goals | 97% | 93% | 77% | 58% | A |
| Udinese vs AC MilanSerie AOur call: Over 3.5 goals · 54% | Serie A | Over 3.5 goals | 96% | 91% | 74% | 54% | A |
| Paris Saint Germain vs LyonLigue 1Our call: Over 3.5 goals · 62% | Ligue 1 | Over 3.5 goals | 98% | 93% | 80% | 62% | A |
| Barcelona vs Real MadridLa LigaOur call: Over 3.5 goals · 79% | La Liga | Over 3.5 goals | 99% | 98% | 91% | 79% | A |
| Sevilla vs OsasunaLa LigaOur call: Over 2.5 goals · 61% | La Liga | Over 2.5 goals | 94% | 85% | 61% | 39% | A |
| Sassuolo vs LazioSerie AOur call: Over 2.5 goals · 67% | Serie A | Over 2.5 goals | 95% | 88% | 67% | 46% | A |
| Roma vs CagliariSerie AOur call: Over 3.5 goals · 62% | Serie A | Over 3.5 goals | 98% | 94% | 80% | 62% | A |
| Torino vs ComoSerie AOur call: Over 3.5 goals · 52% | Serie A | Over 3.5 goals | 96% | 90% | 72% | 52% | A |
| AC Milan vs BolognaSerie AOur call: Over 2.5 goals · 70% | Serie A | Over 2.5 goals | 96% | 89% | 70% | 49% | A |
| Venezia vs InterSerie AOur call: Over 3.5 goals · 74% | Serie A | Over 3.5 goals | 99% | 97% | 88% | 74% | A |
| Parma Calcio 1913 vs UdineseSerie AOur call: Over 2.5 goals · 61% | Serie A | Over 2.5 goals | 94% | 84% | 61% | 38% | A |
| Genoa vs JuventusSerie AOur call: Over 1.5 goals · 73% | Serie A | Over 1.5 goals | 89% | 73% | 45% | 24% | A |
| Monza vs NapoliSerie AOur call: Over 3.5 goals · 59% | Serie A | Over 3.5 goals | 97% | 93% | 78% | 59% | A |
The bold cell is the highest line the model still makes odds-on for that fixture; the other cells are the same ladder read off the same grid. Grade A/B = the fixture is backed by both/one team’s xG record. The over 2.5 column is the same number our Over/Under page publishes; both are read off one scoreline grid. No bookmaker prices are shown on this page: we only record odds for 1X2, so an edge for this market would be invented.
Probability distribution
56 priced fixtures · GoalsEach bar counts the fixtures whose top selection in this market falls in that probability band — the model’s own spread, not a forecast of how often it is right. Bands are 10 percentage points wide. 33 of 56 sit at 60% or higher.
Other markets for the same fixtures
Every market on this site is priced from one model, so these pages cover the same matches from a different angle.