Updated

Market

Double Chance Football Predictions

Double chance folds two of the three 1X2 outcomes into one bet: 1X, 12 or X2. Each probability is the exact sum of the two matching 1X2 numbers we already publish, so shorter prices for a smaller edge — the safety is real, the extra insight is not.

Fixtures priced 56 with a published analysis page · 51 more later this season
Kicking off today 0 of those fixtures, UTC date
Average probability 78% model probability of the selection we name
Strongest selection 89% highest probability in this market

Market picks

56 fixtures with a published Double Chance number — every row opens the full prediction; 51 more are scheduled and get a page as they approach.

Fixtures with our Double Chance selection and its model probability
Match League SelectionOur prob Conf.
VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia M.GladbachBundesligaOur call: VfB Stuttgart or draw Bundesliga VfB Stuttgart or draw84% A
Torino vs MonzaSerie AOur call: Torino or Monza Serie A Torino or Monza72% A
Brest vs NiceLigue 1Our call: Brest or Nice Ligue 1 Brest or Nice74% A
Alaves vs MalagaLa LigaOur call: Alaves or draw La Liga Alaves or draw82% A
Ipswich vs Nottingham ForestPremier LeagueOur call: Ipswich or Nottingham Forest Premier League Ipswich or Nottingham Forest74% A
Aston Villa vs Manchester CityPremier LeagueOur call: Aston Villa or Manchester City Premier League Aston Villa or Manchester City78% A
Rayo Vallecano vs ElcheLa LigaOur call: Rayo Vallecano or draw La Liga Rayo Vallecano or draw81% A
Cagliari vs BolognaSerie AOur call: Cagliari or Bologna Serie A Cagliari or Bologna70% A
Como vs SassuoloSerie AOur call: Como or draw Serie A Como or draw80% A
Mainz 05 vs Werder BremenBundesligaOur call: Mainz 05 or draw Bundesliga Mainz 05 or draw81% A
Augsburg vs Union BerlinBundesligaOur call: Augsburg or Union Berlin Bundesliga Augsburg or Union Berlin77% A
RasenBallsport Leipzig vs SV ElversbergBundesligaOur call: RasenBallsport Leipzig or SV Elversberg Bundesliga RasenBallsport Leipzig or SV Elversberg81% B
SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SVBundesligaOur call: SC Paderborn 07 or Hamburger SV Bundesliga SC Paderborn 07 or Hamburger SV74% B
FC Cologne vs FC Schalke 04BundesligaOur call: FC Cologne or FC Schalke 04 Bundesliga FC Cologne or FC Schalke 0474% B
Arsenal vs EvertonPremier LeagueOur call: Arsenal or draw Premier League Arsenal or draw87% A
Coventry vs FulhamPremier LeagueOur call: Coventry or Fulham Premier League Coventry or Fulham74% A
Racing Santander vs EspanyolLa LigaOur call: Racing Santander or Espanyol La Liga Racing Santander or Espanyol74% A
Toulouse vs Estac TroyesLigue 1Our call: Toulouse or draw Ligue 1 Toulouse or draw78% A
Napoli vs RomaSerie AOur call: Napoli or Roma Serie A Napoli or Roma74% A
Valencia vs VillarrealLa LigaOur call: Valencia or Villarreal La Liga Valencia or Villarreal74% A
Chelsea vs TottenhamPremier LeagueOur call: Chelsea or Tottenham Premier League Chelsea or Tottenham77% A
Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht FrankfurtBundesligaOur call: Borussia Dortmund or draw Bundesliga Borussia Dortmund or draw83% A
Lazio vs Parma Calcio 1913Serie AOur call: Lazio or draw Serie A Lazio or draw86% A
Lens vs Paris FCLigue 1Our call: Lens or Paris FC Ligue 1 Lens or Paris FC74% A
Atletico Madrid vs Deportivo La CorunaLa LigaOur call: Atletico Madrid or draw La Liga Atletico Madrid or draw89% A
Inter vs FiorentinaSerie AOur call: Inter or draw Serie A Inter or draw85% A
Athletic Club vs GetafeLa LigaOur call: Athletic Club or draw La Liga Athletic Club or draw84% A
Liverpool vs BrightonPremier LeagueOur call: Liverpool or Brighton Premier League Liverpool or Brighton76% A
Manchester United vs BournemouthPremier LeagueOur call: Manchester United or Bournemouth Premier League Manchester United or Bournemouth76% A
Crystal Palace vs Newcastle UnitedPremier LeagueOur call: Crystal Palace or Newcastle United Premier League Crystal Palace or Newcastle United74% A
Hull City vs BrentfordPremier LeagueOur call: Draw or Brentford Premier League Draw or Brentford76% A
Genoa vs VeneziaSerie AOur call: Genoa or Venezia Serie A Genoa or Venezia72% A
Atalanta vs FrosinoneSerie AOur call: Atalanta or Frosinone Serie A Atalanta or Frosinone77% A
Monaco vs LilleLigue 1Our call: Monaco or Lille Ligue 1 Monaco or Lille73% A
Hoffenheim vs Bayer LeverkusenBundesligaOur call: Hoffenheim or Bayer Leverkusen Bundesliga Hoffenheim or Bayer Leverkusen76% A
Celta Vigo vs Real BetisLa LigaOur call: Celta Vigo or Real Betis La Liga Celta Vigo or Real Betis73% A
Angers vs LorientLigue 1Our call: Angers or Lorient Ligue 1 Angers or Lorient72% A
Marseille vs Le HavreLigue 1Our call: Marseille or draw Ligue 1 Marseille or draw79% A
Rennes vs StrasbourgLigue 1Our call: Rennes or Strasbourg Ligue 1 Rennes or Strasbourg78% A
Auxerre vs Le MansLigue 1Our call: Auxerre or Le Mans Ligue 1 Auxerre or Le Mans74% A
Sunderland vs LeedsPremier LeagueOur call: Sunderland or Leeds Premier League Sunderland or Leeds72% A
Freiburg vs Bayern MunichBundesligaOur call: Freiburg or Bayern Munich Bundesliga Freiburg or Bayern Munich82% A
Lecce vs JuventusSerie AOur call: Draw or Juventus Serie A Draw or Juventus88% A
Real Sociedad vs LevanteLa LigaOur call: Real Sociedad or draw La Liga Real Sociedad or draw78% A
Udinese vs AC MilanSerie AOur call: Draw or AC Milan Serie A Draw or AC Milan82% A
Paris Saint Germain vs LyonLigue 1Our call: Paris Saint Germain or draw Ligue 1 Paris Saint Germain or draw83% A
Barcelona vs Real MadridLa LigaOur call: Barcelona or Real Madrid La Liga Barcelona or Real Madrid83% A
Sevilla vs OsasunaLa LigaOur call: Sevilla or draw La Liga Sevilla or draw76% A
Sassuolo vs LazioSerie AOur call: Sassuolo or Lazio Serie A Sassuolo or Lazio73% A
Roma vs CagliariSerie AOur call: Roma or draw Serie A Roma or draw89% A
Torino vs ComoSerie AOur call: Draw or Como Serie A Draw or Como77% A
AC Milan vs BolognaSerie AOur call: AC Milan or draw Serie A AC Milan or draw82% A
Venezia vs InterSerie AOur call: Draw or Inter Serie A Draw or Inter85% A
Parma Calcio 1913 vs UdineseSerie AOur call: Parma Calcio 1913 or Udinese Serie A Parma Calcio 1913 or Udinese71% A
Genoa vs JuventusSerie AOur call: Draw or Juventus Serie A Draw or Juventus84% A
Monza vs NapoliSerie AOur call: Monza or Napoli Serie A Monza or Napoli75% A

Our prob = the model probability of the selection named on that row. Grade A/B = the fixture is backed by both/one team’s xG record. These are exact sums of our 1X2 probabilities, so a double chance never contradicts the 1X2 page — it just covers two of its outcomes. No bookmaker prices are shown on this page: we only record odds for 1X2, so an edge for this market would be invented.

Probability distribution

56 priced fixtures · Double Chance

Each bar counts the fixtures whose top selection in this market falls in that probability band — the model’s own spread, not a forecast of how often it is right. Bands are 10 percentage points wide. 56 of 56 sit at 60% or higher.

Other markets for the same fixtures

Every market on this site is priced from one model, so these pages cover the same matches from a different angle.

All markets

Every probability on this page is produced by our own model — expected-goals team ratings turned into a Dixon-Coles scoreline grid, blended with de-vigged market odds where we record them. How our model works →