Upcoming La Liga fixtures
11 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 49 more scheduled later this season.
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Model | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Levante vs Athletic ClubLa LigaA | La Liga | Athletic ClubOur prob 42%Best odds 2.33 | -11% | 34% | 45% | A | 2.33 |
| Alaves vs MalagaLa LigaA | La Liga | AlavesOur prob 56%Best odds 1.84 | +7% | 61% | 54% | A | 1.84 |
| Rayo Vallecano vs ElcheLa LigaA | La Liga | Rayo VallecanoOur prob 56%Best odds 1.81 | +7% | 61% | 54% | A | 1.81 |
| Racing Santander vs EspanyolLa LigaA | La Liga | Racing SantanderOur prob 41%Best odds 2.60 | +3% | 43% | 40% | A | 2.60 |
| Valencia vs VillarrealLa LigaA | La Liga | VillarrealOur prob 43%Best odds 2.22 | -4% | 40% | 44% | A | 2.22 |
| Atletico Madrid vs Deportivo La CorunaLa LigaA | La Liga | Atletico MadridOur prob 70%Best odds 1.31 | -18% | 56% | 74% | A | 1.31 |
| Athletic Club vs GetafeLa LigaA | La Liga | Athletic ClubOur prob 60%Best odds 1.66 | +5% | 63% | 59% | A | 1.66 |
| Celta Vigo vs Real BetisLa LigaA | La Liga | Real BetisOur prob 37%Best odds 2.95 | -3% | 35% | 38% | A | 2.95 |
| Real Sociedad vs LevanteLa LigaA | La Liga | Real SociedadOur prob 55%Best odds 1.76 | -3% | 52% | 55% | A | 1.76 |
| Barcelona vs Real MadridLa LigaA | La Liga | BarcelonaOur prob 61%Best odds 1.65 | +9% | 68% | 59% | A | 1.65 |
| Sevilla vs OsasunaLa LigaA | La Liga | SevillaOur prob 48%Best odds 2.02 | -3% | 46% | 49% | A | 2.02 |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
La Liga table
2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona |
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 9 | +30 | 27 | |
| 2 |  Atletico Madrid |
9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 8 | +11 | 22 | |
| 3 |  Real Madrid |
9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 9 | +14 | 21 | |
| 4 |  Real Betis |
9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 14 | +2 | 19 | |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad |
9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 16 | |
| 6 |  Sevilla |
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 14 | |
| 7 |  Alaves |
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 10 | +3 | 11 | |
| 8 |  Celta Vigo |
9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 11 | |
| 9 |  Deportivo La Coruna |
9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 13 | 12 | +1 | 11 | |
| 10 |  Osasuna |
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 11 | |
| 11 |  Athletic Club |
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 9 | |
| 12 |  Villarreal |
9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 9 | |
| 13 |  Rayo Vallecano |
8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 9 | |
| 14 |  Getafe |
9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 9 | |
| 15 |  Espanyol |
9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 8 | |
| 16 |  Racing Santander |
9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 8 | |
| 17 |  Levante |
8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 7 | |
| 18 |  Elche |
9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 7 | |
| 19 |  Valencia |
9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 6 | |
| 20 |  Malaga |
9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 4 |
P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.
La Liga trends
How La Liga matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 88 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.
Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (380 played matches).
Top La Liga teams by model rating
The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.
- Net rating
- +1.51
- Attack
- 2.94
- Defence
- 1.42
- Net rating
- +0.80
- Attack
- 2.16
- Defence
- 1.36
- Net rating
- +0.60
- Attack
- 1.75
- Defence
- 1.15
Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.
Top scorers in La Liga
From the La Liga scoring charts this season — goals first, then assists. Not a full squad list.
-
RaphinhaBarcelona
12 G 3 A
-
Kylian MbappéReal Madrid
9 G 2 A
-
Lamine YamalBarcelona
8 G 6 A
-
Sergio CamelloRayo Vallecano
7 G 1 A
-
A. BudimirOsasuna
7 G 0 A
-
M. ZabiriRacing Santander
7 G 0 A
-
Roberto FernándezEspanyol
6 G 0 A
-
P. AubameyangDeportivo La Coruna
5 G 2 A
Recent La Liga results
Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.
| Date | Match | Our pick | Our prob | Score | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Getafe vs Rayo VallecanoOur pick Rayo Vallecano · 35% | Rayo Vallecano to win | 35% | 1–1 | Missed | |
| Real Madrid vs SevillaOur pick Real Madrid · 76% | Real Madrid to win | 76% | 4–1 | Correct | |
| Malaga vs Real SociedadOur pick Real Sociedad · 39% | Real Sociedad to win | 39% | 2–5 | Correct | |
| Celta Vigo vs AlavesOur pick Celta Vigo · 41% | Celta Vigo to win | 41% | 2–1 | Correct | |
| Osasuna vs Racing SantanderOur pick Osasuna · 48% | Osasuna to win | 48% | 2–0 | Correct | |
| Valencia vs Athletic ClubOur pick Athletic Club · 41% | Athletic Club to win | 41% | 0–0 | Missed |
Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.