Upcoming Serie A fixtures
13 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 47 more scheduled later this season.
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Model | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torino vs MonzaSerie AA | Serie A | TorinoOur prob 42%Best odds 2.20 | -11% | 34% | 44% | A | 2.20 |
| Cagliari vs BolognaSerie AA | Serie A | BolognaOur prob 38%Best odds 2.55 | -4% | 34% | 39% | A | 2.55 |
| Como vs SassuoloSerie AA | Serie A | ComoOur prob 60%Best odds 1.57 | -10% | 52% | 62% | A | 1.57 |
| Napoli vs RomaSerie AA | Serie A | RomaOur prob 41%Best odds 2.62 | +10% | 48% | 38% | A | 2.62 |
| Lazio vs Parma Calcio 1913Serie AA | Serie A | LazioOur prob 64%Best odds 1.50 | -9% | 57% | 66% | A | 1.50 |
| Inter vs FiorentinaSerie AA | Serie A | InterOur prob 67%Best odds 1.41 | -12% | 58% | 70% | A | 1.41 |
| Genoa vs VeneziaSerie AA | Serie A | GenoaOur prob 45%Best odds 2.15 | -4% | 41% | 46% | A | 2.15 |
| Atalanta vs FrosinoneSerie AA | Serie A | AtalantaOur prob 48%Best odds 1.83 | -21% | 33% | 53% | A | 1.83 |
| Lecce vs JuventusSerie AA | Serie A | JuventusOur prob 67%Best odds 1.50 | +6% | 72% | 66% | A | 1.50 |
| Udinese vs AC MilanSerie AA | Serie A | AC MilanOur prob 58%Best odds 1.81 | +2% | 60% | 58% | A | 1.81 |
| Sassuolo vs LazioSerie AA | Serie A | LazioOur prob 37%Best odds 2.53 | -8% | 31% | 39% | A | 2.53 |
| Roma vs CagliariSerie AA | Serie A | RomaOur prob 70%Best odds 1.40 | +2% | 72% | 70% | A | 1.40 |
| Torino vs ComoSerie AA | Serie A | ComoOur prob 52%Best odds 1.83 | -9% | 45% | 54% | A | 1.83 |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
Serie A table
2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Inter |
7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 9 | +12 | 19 | |
| 2 |  Lazio |
7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 4 | +10 | 19 | |
| 3 |  Roma |
7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 3 | +13 | 17 | |
| 4 |  AC Milan |
7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 7 | +7 | 15 | |
| 5 |  Como |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 7 | +5 | 14 | |
| 6 |  Frosinone |
7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 9 | +4 | 13 | |
| 7 |  Cagliari |
7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 13 | |
| 8 |  Juventus |
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8 | +1 | 11 | |
| 9 |  Napoli |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 10 | |
| 10 |  Torino |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 10 | |
| 11 |  Atalanta |
7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 9 | |
| 12 |  Lecce |
7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 9 | |
| 13 |  Sassuolo |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 8 | |
| 14 |  Monza |
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 7 | |
| 15 |  Bologna |
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 5 | |
| 16 |  Udinese |
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 4 | |
| 17 |  Genoa |
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 4 | |
| 18 |  Fiorentina |
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 4 | |
| 19 |  Parma Calcio 1913 |
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 4 | |
| 20 |  Venezia |
7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 3 |
P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.
Serie A trends
How Serie A matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 70 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.
Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (380 played matches).
Top Serie A teams by model rating
The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.
- Net rating
- +1.07
- Attack
- 1.84
- Defence
- 0.76
- Net rating
- +1.04
- Attack
- 2.25
- Defence
- 1.21
- Net rating
- +0.81
- Attack
- 2.36
- Defence
- 1.55
Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.
Top scorers in Serie A
From the Serie A scoring charts this season — goals first, then assists. Not a full squad list.
-
A. RaimondoFrosinone
7 G 0 A
-
Gustavo VarelaMonza
6 G 1 A
-
D. MalenRoma
6 G 0 A
-
A. RabiotAC Milan
4 G 3 A
-
M. ThuramInter
4 G 2 A
-
N. KrstovićAtalanta
4 G 1 A
-
Lautaro MartínezInter
4 G 0 A
-
D. MaldiniCagliari
4 G 0 A
Recent Serie A results
Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.
| Date | Match | Our pick | Our prob | Score | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parma Calcio 1913 vs TorinoOur pick Torino · 42% | Torino to win | 42% | 0–3 | Correct | |
| Monza vs CagliariOur pick Monza · 42% | Monza to win | 42% | 4–0 | Correct | |
| Juventus vs LazioOur pick Juventus · 63% | Juventus to win | 63% | 0–3 | Missed | |
| AC Milan vs AtalantaOur pick AC Milan · 53% | AC Milan to win | 53% | 3–2 | Correct | |
| Fiorentina vs ComoOur pick Como · 45% | Como to win | 45% | 1–3 | Correct | |
| Udinese vs LecceOur pick Udinese · 53% | Udinese to win | 53% | 0–3 | Missed |
Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.