Top pick on Sunday
Racing Santander
vs
Valencia
- Our pick
- Racing Santander to win
- Model prob.
- 62%
- Market prob.
- 41%
- Edge
- +21%
- Best odds
- 2.42
Updated
11 October 2026
Model-driven 1X2, over/under, BTTS and correct-score probabilities for every fixture we cover on Sunday — built from expected-goals ratings and de-vigged market odds, never from tips.
Top pick on Sunday
17 fixtures on Sunday — every row opens the full prediction
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Model | Market | Conf. | Best odds | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Como vs RomaSerie AA | Serie A | RomaOur prob 39%Best odds 2.75 | +8% | 45% | 37% | A | 2.75 | Bet Now |
| Elche vs Celta VigoLa LigaA | La Liga | ElcheOur prob 37%Best odds 2.93 | +10% | 44% | 34% | A | 2.93 | Bet Now |
| Crystal Palace vs Nottingham ForestPremier LeagueA | Premier League | Crystal PalaceOur prob 40%Best odds 2.78 | +18% | 54% | 36% | A | 2.78 | Bet Now |
| Hull City vs EvertonPremier LeagueB | Premier League | EvertonOur prob 42%Best odds 2.11 | -16% | 31% | 46% | B | 2.11 | |
| Lazio vs MonzaSerie AB | Serie A | LazioOur prob 53%Best odds 1.63 | -24% | 36% | 59% | B | 1.63 | |
| Lecce vs BolognaSerie AA | Serie A | BolognaOur prob 50%Best odds 1.98 | +1% | 51% | 50% | A | 1.98 | Bet Now |
| Nice vs StrasbourgLigue 1A | Ligue 1 | NiceOur prob 41%Best odds 2.39 | -1% | 40% | 41% | A | 2.39 | |
| FC Cologne vs Borussia M.GladbachBundesligaA | Bundesliga | FC CologneOur prob 48%Best odds 2.10 | +6% | 52% | 46% | A | 2.10 | Bet Now |
| Real Sociedad vs Deportivo La CorunaLa LigaA | La Liga | Real SociedadOur prob 54%Best odds 1.66 | -22% | 38% | 60% | A | 1.66 | |
| Rennes vs AuxerreLigue 1A | Ligue 1 | RennesOur prob 63%Best odds 1.48 | -14% | 52% | 66% | A | 1.48 | |
| Liverpool vs Manchester CityPremier LeagueA | Premier League | Manchester CityOur prob 41%Best odds 2.50 | +4% | 44% | 40% | A | 2.50 | Bet Now |
| Freiburg vs FC Schalke 04BundesligaB | Bundesliga | FreiburgOur prob 55%Best odds 1.71 | -14% | 44% | 58% | B | 1.71 | |
| Sassuolo vs AC MilanSerie AA | Serie A | AC MilanOur prob 46%Best odds 1.87 | -24% | 28% | 52% | A | 1.87 | |
| Real Betis vs OsasunaLa LigaA | La Liga | Real BetisOur prob 62%Best odds 1.60 | -1% | 62% | 62% | A | 1.60 | |
| Cagliari vs JuventusSerie AA | Serie A | JuventusOur prob 63%Best odds 1.62 | +7% | 68% | 61% | A | 1.62 | Bet Now |
| Estac Troyes vs MarseilleLigue 1B | Ligue 1 | MarseilleOur prob 44%Best odds 1.94 | -22% | 28% | 50% | B | 1.94 | |
| Racing Santander vs ValenciaLa LigaA | La Liga | Racing SantanderOur prob 46%Best odds 2.42 | +21% | 62% | 41% | A | 2.42 | Bet Now |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
5 competitions with fixtures on Sunday — the fixtures themselves are in the explorer above