Updated

12 October 2026

Monday Football Predictions

Model-driven 1X2, over/under, BTTS and correct-score probabilities for every fixture we cover on Monday — built from expected-goals ratings and de-vigged market odds, never from tips.

Top pick on Monday

Levante vs Sevilla

La Liga ·

Our pick
Levante to win
Model prob.
55%
Market prob.
35%
Edge
+20%
Best odds
2.84
Matches on Monday 4 across 3 competitions
Competitions 3 with fixtures on Monday
Value picks 1 model edge ≥ 2%
High confidence 2 both teams xG-backed
Average edge +20.2% across value picks

Match explorer

4 fixtures on Monday — every row opens the full prediction

Fixtures on Monday with our pick, edge and best market odds
MatchLeaguePickEdgeModelMarketConf.Best oddsBet
Atalanta vs VeneziaSerie AB Serie A AtalantaOur prob 54%Best odds 1.66 -26% 34% 60% B 1.66
Torino vs UdineseSerie AA Serie A TorinoOur prob 39%Best odds 2.40 -8% 33% 41% A 2.40
Levante vs SevillaLa LigaA La Liga LevanteOur prob 40%Best odds 2.84 +20% 55% 35% A 2.84 Bet Now
Coventry vs Newcastle UnitedPremier LeagueB Premier League Newcastle UnitedOur prob 41%Best odds 2.18 -19% 27% 45% B 2.18

Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.

Competitions on Monday

3 competitions with fixtures on Monday — the fixtures themselves are in the explorer above

All competitions