Top pick on Monday
Levante
vs
Sevilla
- Our pick
- Levante to win
- Model prob.
- 55%
- Market prob.
- 35%
- Edge
- +20%
- Best odds
- 2.84
Updated
12 October 2026
Model-driven 1X2, over/under, BTTS and correct-score probabilities for every fixture we cover on Monday — built from expected-goals ratings and de-vigged market odds, never from tips.
Top pick on Monday
4 fixtures on Monday — every row opens the full prediction
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Model | Market | Conf. | Best odds | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta vs VeneziaSerie AB | Serie A | AtalantaOur prob 54%Best odds 1.66 | -26% | 34% | 60% | B | 1.66 | |
| Torino vs UdineseSerie AA | Serie A | TorinoOur prob 39%Best odds 2.40 | -8% | 33% | 41% | A | 2.40 | |
| Levante vs SevillaLa LigaA | La Liga | LevanteOur prob 40%Best odds 2.84 | +20% | 55% | 35% | A | 2.84 | Bet Now |
| Coventry vs Newcastle UnitedPremier LeagueB | Premier League | Newcastle UnitedOur prob 41%Best odds 2.18 | -19% | 27% | 45% | B | 2.18 |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
3 competitions with fixtures on Monday — the fixtures themselves are in the explorer above