Top pick on Friday
Lens
vs
Lyon
- Our pick
- Lens to win
- Model prob.
- 49%
- Market prob.
- 37%
- Edge
- +12%
- Best odds
- 2.66
Matches on Friday
3
across 3 competitions
Competitions
3
with fixtures on Friday
Value picks
1
model edge ≥ 2%
High confidence
3
both teams xG-backed
Average edge
+11.9%
across value picks
Match explorer
3 fixtures on Friday — every row opens the full prediction
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Model | Market | Conf. | Best odds | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund vs Werder BremenBundesligaA | Bundesliga | Borussia DortmundOur prob 70%Best odds 1.40 | -2% | 69% | 71% | A | 1.40 | |
| Lens vs LyonLigue 1A | Ligue 1 | LensOur prob 40%Best odds 2.66 | +12% | 49% | 37% | A | 2.66 | Bet Now |
| Malaga vs EspanyolLa LigaA | La Liga | EspanyolOur prob 35%Best odds 2.75 | -9% | 28% | 37% | A | 2.75 |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
Competitions on Friday
3 competitions with fixtures on Friday — the fixtures themselves are in the explorer above
- Bundesliga Germany 1 fixture
- Ligue 1 France 1 fixture
- La Liga Spain 1 fixture