Updated

La Liga · Matchday 7

Deportivo La Coruna vs Real Betis

· Estadio de Riazor, La Coruna· Referee Cesar Soto Grado

Full time1 – 1

BCCFC prediction was Real Betis to win

Bblended with market oddsMissed

Predicted score 1 – 2

6% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Deportivo La CorunaDrawReal Betis

Why this pick: Deportivo La Coruna vs Real Betis

Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Deportivo La Coruna 6, Real Betis 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.

Deportivo La CorunaReal Betis
1.08 xG per 90 1.89
1.08 npxG per 90 1.80
13.6 PPDA 14.1
5.3 Deep completions per 90 9.1
0.96 xPTS per 90 1.52

xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.

Deportivo La Coruna vs Real Betis: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceDeportivo La CorunaDrawReal Betis
Model55%24%21%
Market27%26%48%
Published34%25%41%
Edge+29%-2%-27%
  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

Deportivo La Coruna vs Real Betis odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Real Betis, 14 snapshots since 2026-09-14.

Opened 2.44Now 2.00 -0.44
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Deportivo La Coruna2.903.60+0.71
Draw3.273.74+0.47
Real Betis2.442.00-0.44

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Deportivo La Coruna and Real Betis expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

2.08Deportivo La Coruna
1.32Real Betis
Total expected goals
3.40
Attack rating (Deportivo La Coruna / Real Betis)
1.07 / 1.38
Defence rating (Deportivo La Coruna / Real Betis)
0.83 / 1.23

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Deportivo La Coruna vs Real Betis score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 4.7% 2.2% 2.6% 1.1% 0.5% 1 4.8% 10.4% 5.7% 2.5% 1.1% 2 7.2% 9.5% 6.2% 2.7% 1.2% 3 5.2% 6.9% 4.6% 2.0% 0.9% 4+ 4.8% 6.3% 4.1% 1.8% 0.8%

Rows: Deportivo La Coruna goals. Columns: Real Betis goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Deportivo La Coruna vs Real Betis goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 95%
Over 1.5 88%
Over 2.5 68%
Over 3.5 46%
Both teams to score
67%
No goals (0–0)
5%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Deportivo La Coruna vs Real Betis

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Deportivo La Coruna34%2.96
Draw25%3.98
Real Betis41%2.43
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.568%1.47
Under 2.532%3.13
Both teams to scoreYes67%1.50
No33%3.01
Double chance1X (Deportivo La Coruna or draw)59%1.70
12 (either side)75%1.34
X2 (draw or Real Betis)66%1.51
Handicap -1Real Betis win by 2+9%10.70
Push (exactly one goal)11%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Deportivo La Coruna and Real Betis recent form

Deportivo La Coruna 2W 3D 1L
Real Betis 5W 0D 1L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Deportivo La Coruna at home

Record (W-D-L)
1-1-1
Win rate
33%
Goals for / match
1.33
Goals against / match
1.00
Clean sheets
0 of 3
  • They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • 58% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Real Betis away

Record (W-D-L)
2-0-1
Win rate
67%
Goals for / match
1.67
Goals against / match
2.00
Clean sheets
1 of 3
  • They have won 5 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 6 matches.

League matches this season before kick-off: Deportivo La Coruna at home only, Real Betis away only.

Injuries & availability

Deportivo La Coruna absences

  • Angelino suspended
  • N. Carrillo ankle injury

Real Betis absences

  • A. Ruibal knee injury
  • D. Llorente broken nose
  • I. Losada inactive

Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider; confirmed line-ups appear about 40 minutes before kick-off.

Expected lineups

Deportivo La Coruna lineup · 4-4-2

  1. 13 Leo Román
  2. 12 G. Quagliata
  3. 22 B. Ede
  4. 20 J. Giménez
  5. 23 Ximo Navarro
  6. 14 Riki Rodríguez
  7. 21 Mario Soriano
  8. 6 Marc Casadó
  9. 11 David Mella
  10. 32 B. Nsongo
  11. 18 Jonathan Asp Jensen

Bench: Adrià Alti, Arnau Comas, L. Noubi, Dani Barcia, P. Aubameyang, Diego Villares, Z. Eddahchouri, Peke, Miguel Loureiro, Luismi Cruz, Adama Traoré, Álvaro Fernández

Real Betis lineup · 4-3-3

  1. 1 Álvaro Vallés
  2. 11 Fran García
  3. 4 Natan
  4. 5 Marc Bartra
  5. 2 Héctor Bellerín
  6. 8 Pablo Fornals
  7. 21 Marc Roca
  8. 18 N. Deossa
  9. 10 A. Ezzalzouli
  10. 9 C. Hernández
  11. 7 Antony

Bench: F. Bernal, Ángel Ortiz, Álvaro Fidalgo, V. Gómez, Rodrigo Riquelme, T. Parrott, G. Lo Celso, Isco, Junior Firpo, Dani Ceballos, J. A. Morante, Manu González

Deportivo La Coruna vs Real Betis head-to-head

Last 8 meetings: Deportivo La Coruna 1 · draws 4 · Real Betis 3.

Deportivo La CorunaDrawsReal Betis
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2018-02-12Deportivo La Coruna0-1Real BetisLa Liga
2017-09-16Real Betis2-1Deportivo La CorunaLa Liga
2017-03-08Deportivo La Coruna1-1Real BetisLa Liga
2016-08-26Real Betis0-0Deportivo La CorunaLa Liga
2016-02-13Deportivo La Coruna2-2Real BetisLa Liga
2015-09-24Real Betis1-2Deportivo La CorunaLa Liga
2013-04-29Real Betis1-1Deportivo La CorunaLa Liga
2012-12-02Deportivo La Coruna2-3Real BetisLa Liga

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Before and after this match